MARKET NEWS

EMF Weekly 50

5 months ago

TankerS

Rates remain high behind global political tensions. 

Suezmax markets faced weaker fundamentals setting conditions for rates to slide somewhat. Conditions in the Atlantic particularly favored charterers over owners, while the Middle East Gulf remained fairly active, leading to some rate increases.

Aframax markets experienced a strong start to the week, especially relative to recent weeks; however, rates remained mostly steady, despite the higher activity. Cross Mediterranean routes and the Black Sea were particularly active, with some players looking for safe itineraries over the Christmas period.

“Tanker rates were mixed across routes but generally moved lower. Markets now anticipate effects from the Red Sea situation.”

VLCC markets saw rates drop after tracking sideways for several weeks. Activity in the Atlantic was stronger than in the East. Enquiry levels were consistent in the Atlantic with high fixing volumes, which has shortened the position list, leading owners to hope for a floor to be found next week.

Global shipping markets faced disruption in the Red Sea last week as Houthi Rebels increased their attacks, targeting East-West trade and causing a fire onboard a Norwegian tanker via a missile attack last week. Over the weekend, markets saw decisive action from a growing number of shipping companies, particularly containers, suspend activity through the Red Sea. Their vessels are re-routing via the Cape Of Good Hope, adding significant distance to routes going from 17 days through Suez to 41 days around Africa. BP is the first major oil producer to pause transits through the Red Sea, and if/when others join them, significant tonne-miles will likely be added to the industry, which has driven a broad rally in shipping shares over the recent days.

$ 0 /day

Aframax ECO, 12 months TC

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Aframax, Average spot

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Suezmax ECO, 12 months TC

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Suezmax, Average spot

Source: Clarksons Research

Dry Bulk

Mixed rate development in Bulk.

Weighted average Capesize rates increased 4% week-on-week showing an ability to hold rates at much higher levels after the surge two weeks ago. The market itself was mixed across routes, with some strengthening and others weakening, as Australian cargoes did much of the heavy lifting with strong demand in the Pacific. Capesize rates, in particular, remain far above year-to-date averages.

“Bulk markets were mixed but with Capesize rates holding out at a very strong level.”

Panamax markets eased slightly with bid/offer spreads widening and owners revising offers to find cover. The Americas saw an enquiry level supporting stable rates, but overall rates in the Atlantic slipped slightly, while activity was subdued in the Pacific.

Handy markets experienced a quieter week; however, tight tonnage lists in the US Gulf and East Coast of South America supported rates despite reduced activity. Rates in the Mediterranean came down as vessel supply increased while rates in the Pacific also retreated but under weaker demand, as notably Indonesian coal demand was reduced.

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Capesize, 12 months TC

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Kamsarmax, 12 months TC

Source: Clarksons Research

car carrier

Rates continue to very strong behind global growth, positive impact from recent COP28 meetings in Dubai. 

Hoegh Autoliners has caught attention in the time surrounding the recent COP28 summit for its deal to fill the expected ammonia supply gap needed to supply its twelve pending multi-fuel newbuilds (announced earlier in 2023), to be built by China Merchant Heavy Industries (Jiangsu). The vessels will have a capacity of 9,100 car equivalent units (CEUs) and will be compatible with ammonia and methanol fuels.

“The PCTC market looks towards a greener fleet, as Hoegh Autoliners moves to guarantee supply.”

Hoegh Autoliners has entered an agreement with two bunkering hubs, in Singapore and Florida, US, to assess the suitability of ammonia bunkering facilities at their respective ports and also investigate ship-to-ship refueling options.

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5000 CEU – 12 months TC

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6500 CEU – 12 months  TC

Source: Clarksons Research

Tankers

Indicative TC (1 year)
Type Tons Week 50 Week 47 + /-
VLCC 300t. $ 56.000 $ 57.250 -2 %
Suemax 160t. $ 46.000 $ 47.250 -3 %
Aframax 115t. $ 45.750 $ 47.500 -4 %
MR 50t. $ 29.750 $ 28.750 3 %
Indicative Values
Type Resale 5y 10y
VLCC 130.0 105.0 75.0
Suemax 95.0 78.0 61.0
Aframax 83.0 70.5 55.0
MR 53.0 43.5 34.0

Dry Bulk

Indicative TC (1 year)
Type Tons Week 50 Week 47 + /-
Capesize 180t. $ 20.500 $ 18.500 11 %
Panamax 82t. $ 15.450 $ 14.500 7 %
Supramax 58t. $ 12.750 $ 12.375 3 %
Handysize 38t. $ 12.500 $ 12.000 4 %
Indicative Values
Type Resale 5y 10y
Capesize 68.0 52.3 31.0
Panamax 39.5 34.0 24.0
Supramax 37.0 30.5 19.5
Handysize 33.0 26.5 17.0

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