MARKET NEWS

EMF Weekly 14

1 year ago

TankerS

Opec+ cut production just before Easter which caused a decline among tanker shipping companies on the stock exchange. A closer look reveals that in the area where the cut was made, this will mainly affect the largest class, VLCC. Given that China is opening up somewhat, it will be necessary for them to fetch oil for larger distances, something which could prove to be positive for the smaller classes, the Suezmax and the Aframax. We are seeing as a trend that oil producers are becoming more open towards long contracts, and we’ve seen several contracts on Aframaxes for $45.000 per day for 2-3 years. This is done because of a fear of a very tight market in the coming years.

$ 0 /day

Aframax ECO, 12 months TC

$ 0 /day

Aframax, Average spot

$ 0 /day

Suezmax ECO, 12 months TC

$ 0 /day

Suezmax, Average spot

Source: Clarksons Research

Dry Bulk

We witnessed a flat week in spite of presumed market optimism which is reflected in the fact that the feature market is traded much higher than the spot market. However, it does appear that the big boom will be postponed for a bit, partly due to the fears over the cyclone season in Western Australia, partly due to long tonnage lists in the Atlantic. China’s import growth and the insecurity surrounding steel production are also holding the market back somewhat. This in spite of authorities approving a 5% import growth target for 2023 which is said to be a conservative aim.

$ 0 /day

Capesize, 12 months TC

$ 0 /day

Kamsarmax, 12 months TC

Source: Clarksons Research

car carrier

Car shipping remained strong through Easter. The period market remains at stable high levels, with the latest updated 1-year contracts of 5000 and 6500 CEU being $90,000 and $110,000 per day respectively. The willingness to buy older tonnage is also a trend in today’s car shipping market. At Easter, the 1997-built “Clementine” (as reported under S&P below) and the 2001-built “Eliana Marino” were sold for $14.35m and $13.39m respectively. This is a strong indication of the opportunities that exist in this segment today, where earnings are expected to remain strong in the future.

$ 0 /day

5000 CEU – 12 months TC

$ 0 /day

6500 CEU – 12 months  TC

Source: Clarksons Research

Tankers

Indicative TC (1 year)
Type Tons Week 10 Week 9 + /-
VLCC 300t. $ 53000 $ 54500 -2 %
Suemax 180t. $ 51000 $ 51000 0 %
Aframax 120t. $ 56000 $ 57500 -2 %
MR 80t. $ 34000 $ 34500 -0 %
Indicative Values
Type Resale 5y 10y
VLCC 125 125 76 60
Suemax 85 68 53 31
Aframax 75 62.50 50 38.50
MR 47.50 41.50 32 21

Dry Bulk

Indicative TC (1 year)
Type Tons Week 10 Week 9 + /-
Capesize 180t. $ 19500 $ 19500 0 %
Panamax 76t. $ 16000 $ 16000 0 %
Supramax 58t. $ 16000 $ 16000 0 %
Handysize 30t. $ 15500 $ 15500 0 %
Indicative Values
Type Resale 5y 10y
Capesize 64 53.5 32.5 20.5
Panamax 39 32.5 24 15.75
Supramax 38 31.5 21 15.5
Handysize 31 26 18.50 12.25

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