Tanker second-hand vessel prices near record highs.
The conflict in the Red Sea has driven longer ton miles for the tanker industry throughout 2024, and last week, fresh Houthi vessel attacks claimed the lives of three crew members, injuring several others, and ultimately leaving the Bulk vessel “True Confidence” abandoned. The deaths are a fresh reminder of the risks taken when travelling through the Red Sea and may drive further avoidance moving forward further reducing vessel supply as they re-route via the Cape of Good Hope.
“Three ship crew killed in Houthi vessel attack, likely to continue driving avoidance of the Red Sea”.
Other factors leading to greater ton miles, which also constrain vessel supply, were in focus last week as OPEC+ extended their 2.2mbd voluntary output cut through Q2 2024. With the OPEC+ volumes remaining subdued, greater supply has originated from Brazil, Guyana, and the US, generally adding to the average industry ton miles, vs cargoes from the Middle East, in turn locking up supply and supporting higher fleet utilization.
On a week-over-week basis, the Crude tanker market gained across vessel segments, as strong demand boosted spot rates, with reports of very strong three-year time charter rates and second-hand vessel values remaining exceptional. The ongoing supply/demand fundamentals have been reflected in the second-hand vessel market, with new record prices for a second-hand Suezmax vessel set last week at around USD 99m.
Aframax ECO, 12 months TC
Aframax, Average spot
Suezmax ECO, 12 months TC
Suezmax, Average spot
Source: Clarksons Research
Strong iron ore demand bound for China supports the bulk market.
Capesize rates continued climbing further as strong demand for iron ore bound for China underpins ongoing strong market conditions. Activity levels were somewhat weaker in the Atlantic, but with the overall fleet-weighted average earnings increasing by 10%.
“Continued momentum in bulk carrier sector, especially for Capesize”.
The surge in Capesize also trickled down into the Panamax and Handy segments, with generally strong demand from the global South driving rate increases, while strong demand for Handy vessels in the Pacific gave a boost to Handy rates.
Capesize, 12 months TC
Kamsarmax, 12 months TC
Source: Clarksons Research
China’s 2023 vehicle exports show a year-on-year growth of 58%, surging to 4.9 million units, an estimated 3 million of which were electric vehicles (EVs).
Data for China’s 2023 vehicle exports show a year-on-year growth of 58%, surging to 4.9 million units, an estimated 3 million of which were electric vehicles (EVs). With Chinese vehicle exports projected to grow again in 2024 and limited new PCTC tonnage reaching the market, the fundamentals for ongoing vessel undersupply continue.
Norwegian PCTC carrier Hoegh Autoliners has secured USD 14m in funding from Enova, a fund owned by the Norwegian Ministry of Climate and Environment, to enable the use of ammonia fuel on two of its new ammonia-ready Aurora class PCTC newbuilds. The funding is designed to facilitate using ammonia fuel, and help bridge the gap as ammonia fuel availability is still ramping up.
5000 CEU – 12 months TC
6500 CEU – 12 months TC
Source: Clarksons Research
Type | Tons | + /- | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
VLCC | ||||
Suemax | ||||
Aframax | ||||
MR |
Type | Resale | 5y | 10y | |
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VLCC | ||||
Suemax | ||||
Aframax | ||||
MR |
Type | Tons | + /- | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Capesize | ||||
Panamax | ||||
Supramax | ||||
Handysize |
Type | Resale | 5y | 10y | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Capesize | ||||
Panamax | ||||
Supramax | ||||
Handysize |
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